Determinants of Long-Term Growth A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (Bace) Approach
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variab...
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Otros Autores: | , |
Formato: | Capítulo de libro electrónico |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Paris :
OECD Publishing
2000.
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Colección: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers,
no.266. |
Materias: | |
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009706088506719 |
Sumario: | This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variables. The weights applied to individual regressions are justified on Bayesian grounds in a way similar to the well-known Schwarz criterion. Of 32 explanatory variables we find 11 to be robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another five variables to be marginally related. Of all the variables considered, the strongest evidence is for the initial level of real GDP per capita ... |
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Descripción Física: | 1 online resource (44 p. ) |