Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Perspectives on warm conveyor belts sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Otros Autores: Pickl, Moritz, author (author)
Formato: Libro electrónico
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Karlsruhe : KIT Scientific Publishing 2023.
Materias:
Forecasting > Methodology.
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009808936706719
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Introduction
  • 1
  • Background and Research Questions
  • 5
  • Data and Methods
  • 29
  • The impact of ensemble configuration on rapidly ascending air streams
  • 55
  • Impacts through stochastic perturbations
  • 105
  • The role of WCBs for forecast error growth
  • 139
  • Conclusions
  • 171
  • Appendix for Chapter3
  • 181
  • Appendix for Chapter4
  • 183
  • Appendix for Chapter5
  • 185
  • Appendix for Chapter6
  • 187
  • Bibliography
  • 193
  • Acknowledgements
  • 213
  • Copyright.

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