OECD economic outlook November 2011.
Autor Corporativo: | |
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Formato: | Libro electrónico |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Paris :
OECD
2011.
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Colección: | OECD economic outlook,
v. 2011/2, no. 90 (November) |
Materias: | |
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009706315006719 |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- ""Table of Contents""; ""Summary of projections""; ""Editorial: The Policy Imperative: Rebuild Confidence""; ""Chapter 1. General Assessment of the Macroeconomic Situation""; ""Summary""; ""Introduction""; ""Table 1.1. The global recovery has lost momentum""; ""Key forces acting""; ""Figure 1.1. Business surveys point to a much weaker outlook""; ""Figure 1.2. Equity markets have weakened again""; ""Figure 1.3. It has become more expensive to insure unsecured bank debt against default""; ""Figure 1.4. Investors are now discriminating strongly across euro area sovereign bonds""
- ""Figure 1.5. Overall financial conditions have been hit in the euro area""""Box 1.1. Risk awareness, uncertainty and confidence""; ""The implications of confidence and uncertainty for expenditure growth""; ""The muddling-through projection""; ""Box 1.2. Policy and other assumptions underlying the projections""; ""Figure 1.6. Global growth is heavily dependent on the non-OECD economies""; ""Box 1.3. The anchoring of inflation expectations and the risk of deflation""; ""Sensitivity of various measures of inflation expectations to headline inflation""
- ""Figure 1.7. Underlying inflation is likely to moderate""""Table 1.2. OECD labour market conditions are no longer improving""; ""Figure 1.8. Considerable labour market slack is set to persist""; ""Figure 1.9. Global imbalances remain elevated""; ""Table 1.3. World trade is slowing and imbalances remain""; ""Policies in the muddling-through projection""; ""Figure 1.10. The composition of fiscal consolidation plans""; ""Table 1.4. Fiscal positions will improve only slowly""; ""Box 1.4. The decisions taken at the October 2011 Euro summit and EU Council meeting""
- ""Alternative scenarios for the euro area""""Table 1.5. Bank exposure to Greek sovereign and total debt""; ""Figure 1.11. Official loans to the governments of Greece, Ireland and Portugal""; ""Table 1.6. EU / IMF Programme countries : Funding needs and sources""; ""Figure 1.12. Belgium, Italy and Spain: the impact of higher interest rates on consolidation needs""; ""Table 1.7. Stress-tested banks� exposures to Belgian, Italian and Spanish debt""; ""Table 1.8. US and Japanese banks: Exposure to programme and vulnerable euro countries""
- ""Box 1.5. Calibrating a stylised downside scenario in the euro area""""Financial conditions in a stylised euro area downside scenario""; ""Uncertainty and consumer confidence in a stylised euro area downside scenario""; ""Private sector demand in a stylised euro area downside scenario""; ""A stylised euro area downside scenario: macroeconomic model simulation results""; ""Figure 1.13. Belgium, Italy, Spain and euro area programme countries: bond-market size, government funding needs and banks' holding of sovereign bonds""; ""Box 1.6. Calibrating a stylised upside scenario in the euro area""
- ""A stylised euro area upside scenario: macroeconomic model simulation results""